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icon for ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?

ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?

icon for ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?

ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket

$32,665 Vol.

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket

$32,665 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s strong performance in Argentina’s October 2025 midterm elections expanded his party’s congressional representation and created a legislative buffer that has sustained his position into 2026. With inflation reduced from prior highs and fiscal austerity measures advancing through special sessions, the president maintains executive authority despite periodic approval dips and isolated corruption allegations tied to earlier cryptocurrency promotions. Constitutional removal processes require supermajorities that a fragmented opposition has not approached, while no credible resignation signals or health-related developments have emerged. Traders assign a 96 percent implied probability to Milei remaining in office through the end of 2026 because these institutional and electoral factors have proven durable. Only an unforeseen crisis, such as a sharp reversal in economic stabilization or a successful impeachment effort backed by broader congressional support, could realistically alter that trajectory before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$32,665
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s strong performance in Argentina’s October 2025 midterm elections expanded his party’s congressional representation and created a legislative buffer that has sustained his position into 2026. With inflation reduced from prior highs and fiscal austerity measures advancing through special sessions, the president maintains executive authority despite periodic approval dips and isolated corruption allegations tied to earlier cryptocurrency promotions. Constitutional removal processes require supermajorities that a fragmented opposition has not approached, while no credible resignation signals or health-related developments have emerged. Traders assign a 96 percent implied probability to Milei remaining in office through the end of 2026 because these institutional and electoral factors have proven durable. Only an unforeseen crisis, such as a sharp reversal in economic stabilization or a successful impeachment effort backed by broader congressional support, could realistically alter that trajectory before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$32,665
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年より前にミレイはアルゼンチン大統領を退任するか?」で5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、5¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に5%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?」は$32.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「2027年より前にミレイはアルゼンチン大統領を退任するか?」でわずか5%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ミレイは2027年までにアルゼンチンの大統領に就任しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。