Recent Ukrainian drone incursions have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at Moscow’s four main airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—for safety reasons. Multiple waves occurred in mid-June 2026 and again on 11 August, with Russian authorities citing airspace threats and diverting or canceling hundreds of flights. In response, Rosaviatsiya imposed new altitude limits and transit bans over the Moscow region in July that remain in effect. These security measures, combined with the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict dynamics, form the primary driver of market pricing on the cause of any future suspension. Traders monitor official NOTAMs, defense ministry statements, and airline announcements for resolution triggers through the August 31 window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
8月31日
80%
9月15日
83%
9月30日
92%
$310 Vol.
8月31日
$288 Vol.
80%
9月15日
$18 Vol.
83%
9月30日
$4 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone incursions have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at Moscow’s four main airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—for safety reasons. Multiple waves occurred in mid-June 2026 and again on 11 August, with Russian authorities citing airspace threats and diverting or canceling hundreds of flights. In response, Rosaviatsiya imposed new altitude limits and transit bans over the Moscow region in July that remain in effect. These security measures, combined with the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict dynamics, form the primary driver of market pricing on the cause of any future suspension. Traders monitor official NOTAMs, defense ministry statements, and airline announcements for resolution triggers through the August 31 window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
音量
$310終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone incursions have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at Moscow’s four main airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—for safety reasons. Multiple waves occurred in mid-June 2026 and again on 11 August, with Russian authorities citing airspace threats and diverting or canceling hundreds of flights. In response, Rosaviatsiya imposed new altitude limits and transit bans over the Moscow region in July that remain in effect. These security measures, combined with the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict dynamics, form the primary driver of market pricing on the cause of any future suspension. Traders monitor official NOTAMs, defense ministry statements, and airline announcements for resolution triggers through the August 31 window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$310終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Ukrainian drone incursions have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at Moscow’s four main airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—for safety reasons. Multiple waves occurred in mid-June 2026 and again on 11 August, with Russian authorities citing airspace threats and diverting or canceling hundreds of flights. In response, Rosaviatsiya imposed new altitude limits and transit bans over the Moscow region in July that remain in effect. These security measures, combined with the broader Russia-Ukraine conflict dynamics, form the primary driver of market pricing on the cause of any future suspension. Traders monitor official NOTAMs, defense ministry statements, and airline announcements for resolution triggers through the August 31 window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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