Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
87%
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
$350 Vol.
87%
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
音量
$350終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
音量
$350終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問