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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·フランスの選挙

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
政治·フランスの選挙

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

新規
2027/04/30
Polymarket

$2,952 Vol.

Polymarket
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Marine Le Pen

$209 Vol.

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 Vol.

80%

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Éric Zemmour

$60 Vol.

5%

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Édouard Philippe

$1 Vol.

45%

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David Lisnard

$9 Vol.

5%

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Xavier Bertrand

$164 Vol.

4%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Vol.

4%

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François Ruffin

$126 Vol.

4%

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Gabriel Attal

$0 Vol.

22%

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Bruno Retailleau

$200 Vol.

8%

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François Hollande

$21 Vol.

6%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

21%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Vol.

43%

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Marine Tondelier

$10 Vol.

6%

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Fabien Roussel

$50 Vol.

6%

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Olivier Faure

$50 Vol.

6%

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Dominique de Villepin

$54 Vol.

7%

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Ségolène Royal

$74 Vol.

4%

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François Asselineau

$208 Vol.

4%

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Clémentine Autain

$73 Vol.

4%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Vol.

3%

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Michel Barnier

$57 Vol.

3%

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Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

3%

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François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

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Élisabeth Borne

$50 Vol.

4%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Vol.

3%

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Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

26%

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Gérald Darmanin

$50 Vol.

7%

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Carole Delga

$71 Vol.

4%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Vol.

6%

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Manuel Bompard

$50 Vol.

5%

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Mathilde Panot

$50 Vol.

3%

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Other

$92 Vol.

35%

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Sarah Knafo

$38 Vol.

4%

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Juan Branco

$121 Vol.

3%

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Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

4%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$2,952
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
音量
$2,952
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」はPolymarket上の37個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jordan Bardella」で80%、次いで「Édouard Philippe」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、80¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に80%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 1, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている37個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jordan Bardella」で80%であり、市場がこの結果に80%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Édouard Philippe」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。