Recent delays on Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, which missed repeated June and July 2026 targets, underpin the 92.4% market-implied odds against any Pro-tier release by August 31. Official API changelogs confirm only Flash variants—such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—have reached general availability, reflecting internal performance shortfalls and a strategic emphasis on efficient, agentic models over frontier reasoning capabilities. Traders view the absence of developer previews, enterprise rollouts, or Google I/O-style announcements as evidence that the Pro line remains in testing. A credible last-minute preview or general availability announcement tied to an unpublicized event could still shift sentiment before month-end, though historical slippage makes this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No release by August 31 92.6%
August 31 3.4%
August 26 2.3%
August 24 2.0%
$278,695 Vol.
$278,695 Vol.
2026/08/31
August 20
<1%
August 21
<1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
<1%
August 24
2%
August 25
1%
August 26
2%
August 27
1%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
1%
August 31
3%
No release by August 31
93%
No release by August 31 92.6%
August 31 3.4%
August 26 2.3%
August 24 2.0%
$278,695 Vol.
$278,695 Vol.
2026/08/31
August 20
$2,965 Vol.
<1%
August 21
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
August 22
$2,764 Vol.
<1%
August 23
$2,163 Vol.
<1%
August 24
$4,670 Vol.
2%
August 25
$6,042 Vol.
1%
August 26
$4,750 Vol.
2%
August 27
$8,810 Vol.
1%
August 28
$4,159 Vol.
1%
August 29
$5,409 Vol.
<1%
August 30
$2,536 Vol.
1%
August 31
$8,135 Vol.
3%
No release by August 31
$58,749 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent delays on Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, which missed repeated June and July 2026 targets, underpin the 92.4% market-implied odds against any Pro-tier release by August 31. Official API changelogs confirm only Flash variants—such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—have reached general availability, reflecting internal performance shortfalls and a strategic emphasis on efficient, agentic models over frontier reasoning capabilities. Traders view the absence of developer previews, enterprise rollouts, or Google I/O-style announcements as evidence that the Pro line remains in testing. A credible last-minute preview or general availability announcement tied to an unpublicized event could still shift sentiment before month-end, though historical slippage makes this improbable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
音量
$278,695終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent delays on Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, which missed repeated June and July 2026 targets, underpin the 92.4% market-implied odds against any Pro-tier release by August 31. Official API changelogs confirm only Flash variants—such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—have reached general availability, reflecting internal performance shortfalls and a strategic emphasis on efficient, agentic models over frontier reasoning capabilities. Traders view the absence of developer previews, enterprise rollouts, or Google I/O-style announcements as evidence that the Pro line remains in testing. A credible last-minute preview or general availability announcement tied to an unpublicized event could still shift sentiment before month-end, though historical slippage makes this improbable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$278,695終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent delays on Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, which missed repeated June and July 2026 targets, underpin the 92.4% market-implied odds against any Pro-tier release by August 31. Official API changelogs confirm only Flash variants—such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13—have reached general availability, reflecting internal performance shortfalls and a strategic emphasis on efficient, agentic models over frontier reasoning capabilities. Traders view the absence of developer previews, enterprise rollouts, or Google I/O-style announcements as evidence that the Pro line remains in testing. A credible last-minute preview or general availability announcement tied to an unpublicized event could still shift sentiment before month-end, though historical slippage makes this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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