Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,676 Vol.
$13,676 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
74%
民主党
24%
$13,676 Vol.
$13,676 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,317 Vol.
74%
民主党
$3,359 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$13,676終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,676終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Amodei’s February retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the first time in 15 years, prompting crowded primaries set for June 9. The seat has never elected a Democrat, spans heavily Republican rural counties plus Reno and Carson City, and maintains a clear GOP registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it solidly Republican, and early candidate fields show no Democratic contender with proven crossover appeal. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee a strong edge heading into the general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data that would narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問