Republican Mark Amodei’s retirement opened Nevada’s 2nd congressional district, a seat with a Republican lean of roughly seven points that has never elected a Democrat. David Flippo secured the GOP nomination after receiving President Trump’s endorsement in the June primary, giving him an edge in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. Teresa Benitez-Thompson won the Democratic primary and has emphasized anti-corruption themes. Recent weeks brought scrutiny of Flippo over disputed military award claims, delayed financial disclosures, and campaign finance questions, prompting several forecasters to shift ratings toward a narrower Lean Republican outlook and drawing criticism from Amodei. Polls show Flippo ahead by low single digits, and the four-day timeline to November 3 leaves limited room for further movement. Trader consensus at 60 percent for Flippo versus 39 percent for Benitez-Thompson tracks the district’s partisan tilt alongside these late-cycle vulnerabilities.
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