Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,911 Vol.
$19,911 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
68%
共和党
28%
$19,911 Vol.
$19,911 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$169 Vol.
68%
共和党
$19,742 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$19,911終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,911終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Despite Republican redistricting efforts to make Ohio’s 9th congressional district more competitive, incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur retains a clear edge in trader assessments for the November general election. Derek Merrin, the former state representative who lost by fewer than 2,400 votes in 2024, won the Republican primary on May 5 after a crowded field. Kaptur’s decades-long incumbency advantage and established support in the Toledo area continue to anchor market pricing at 67.5 percent for Democrats. The narrow 2024 margin and post-primary consolidation for Republicans introduce some uncertainty, yet no recent polling shifts have altered the current consensus favoring the Democratic hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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