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icon for OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?

OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?

icon for OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?

OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?

9月3日 65.9%

2026年9月2日まで 15.3%

9月8日 6.0%

9月30日までにリリースなし 6%

Polymarket
新規

$26,315 Vol.

9月3日 65.9%

2026年9月2日まで 15.3%

9月8日 6.0%

9月30日までにリリースなし 6%

Polymarket
新規

$26,315 Vol.

2026年9月2日まで

$1,406 Vol.

15%

9月3日

$1,455 Vol.

66%

9月4日

$1,117 Vol.

4%

9月5日

$688 Vol.

15%

9月6日

$607 Vol.

1%

9月7日

$520 Vol.

3%

9月8日

$520 Vol.

10%

9月9日

$520 Vol.

2%

9月10日

$440 Vol.

2%

9月11日

$733 Vol.

1%

9月12日

$733 Vol.

1%

9月13日

$657 Vol.

1%

9月14日

$766 Vol.

1%

9月15日

$1,185 Vol.

2%

9月16日

$855 Vol.

1%

9月17日

$855 Vol.

1%

9月18日

$755 Vol.

1%

9月19日

$755 Vol.

1%

9月20日

$855 Vol.

1%

9月21日

$1,015 Vol.

11%

9月22日

$755 Vol.

1%

9月23日

$712 Vol.

1%

9月24日

$1,780 Vol.

11%

9月25日

$1,015 Vol.

1%

9月26日

$712 Vol.

1%

9月27日

$1,433 Vol.

1%

9月28日

$712 Vol.

1%

9月29日

$755 Vol.

1%

9月30日

$765 Vol.

1%

9月30日までにリリースなし

$1,239 Vol.

6%

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first model to reach its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, confirming it can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities while announcing resumed development after weeks of added safeguards and monitoring. The company stated it plans to make the large language model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially restricted to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This official signal of near-term readiness, following the August preview of Astra’s multi-agent math capabilities and the July Hugging Face incident, has driven trader consensus toward the earliest September dates on Polymarket. No precise launch window was disclosed, leaving room for last-minute adjustments.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$26,315
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first model to reach its “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, confirming it can autonomously discover and exploit vulnerabilities while announcing resumed development after weeks of added safeguards and monitoring. The company stated it plans to make the large language model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially restricted to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This official signal of near-term readiness, following the August preview of Astra’s multi-agent math capabilities and the July Hugging Face incident, has driven trader consensus toward the earliest September dates on Polymarket. No precise launch window was disclosed, leaving room for last-minute adjustments.

On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.

For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$26,315
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月3日」で66%、次いで「2026年9月2日まで」が15%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、66¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に66%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?」は$26.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「9月3日」で66%であり、市場がこの結果に66%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年9月2日まで」で15%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAIのAstraは...にリリースされましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。