OpenAI’s most recent $122 billion funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, establishing the prevailing private-market anchor that continues to shape trader expectations for the end of August. A $7 billion secondary tender offer completed in mid-August reaffirmed this level by allowing employees to sell at the same price, while reported annualized revenue has accelerated toward $40 billion on the back of GPT model adoption and enterprise demand. These factors, combined with sustained investor interest from major AI infrastructure players, drive the market’s heavy concentration on the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. With IPO preparations still pointing to 2027 and no new primary round imminent, traders appear to view near-term valuation stability around the established mark as the base case, tempered by modest upside potential from continued revenue momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$800-$900B 63%
$900B-$1.00T 37%
<$600B 1.0%
$600-$700B <1%
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
<1%
$800-$900B
63%
$900B-$1.00T
37%
$1.00-$1.10T
<1%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
$1.20-$1.30T
<1%
$1.30T+
1%
$800-$900B 63%
$900B-$1.00T 37%
<$600B 1.0%
$600-$700B <1%
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
<1%
$800-$900B
63%
$900B-$1.00T
37%
$1.00-$1.10T
<1%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
$1.20-$1.30T
<1%
$1.30T+
1%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
OpenAI’s most recent $122 billion funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026, establishing the prevailing private-market anchor that continues to shape trader expectations for the end of August. A $7 billion secondary tender offer completed in mid-August reaffirmed this level by allowing employees to sell at the same price, while reported annualized revenue has accelerated toward $40 billion on the back of GPT model adoption and enterprise demand. These factors, combined with sustained investor interest from major AI infrastructure players, drive the market’s heavy concentration on the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. With IPO preparations still pointing to 2027 and no new primary round imminent, traders appear to view near-term valuation stability around the established mark as the base case, tempered by modest upside potential from continued revenue momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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