**PP leads trader pricing for the Cantabria winner in Spain’s November 29 snap general election at 77.5 percent, far ahead of PSOE at 5.5 percent and Vox at 2.7 percent.** National polling averages place the center-right PP several points ahead of the governing PSOE, with projections showing PP taking the largest share of seats overall and a PP-Vox bloc reaching a majority in nearly all simulations. In Cantabria’s five-seat district, recent seat models allocate two seats to PP, two to PSOE, and one to Vox, with PP’s stronger regional performance and the D’Hondt allocation favoring it for the plurality. The early election call followed parliamentary rejection of housing measures amid coalition strains, migration pressures, and voter shifts toward the opposition, reinforcing PP’s position in this constituency ahead of the vote.
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