**Strong holiday momentum and proven holding power position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust sixth weekend in the $15 million-plus range.** Released July 29–31, 2026, the film opened to a record $360 million domestically (second only to *Avengers: Endgame*) and has maintained the No. 1 spot through five weekends with steadily improving drops: 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42%. By early September it had reached roughly $896 million domestic and $2.34 billion worldwide, reflecting exceptional audience retention and minimal competition. Labor Day weekend (September 5–7) historically lifts holdovers, and recent daily figures—such as $6.96 million on the prior Sunday and steady weekday earnings around $2–3 million—signal continued front-runner status. Traders see the combination of holiday uplift, strong word-of-mouth, and the film’s 2.5x multiplier trajectory as the dominant driver behind the 76.5% implied probability for $15 million or more, while lower brackets reflect only modest downside risk if the boost underperforms expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」6週目ウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」6週目ウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
1,500万ドル以上 61%
1,400万～1,500万ドル 24%
1,300万〜1,400万ドル 18%
1,200万～1,300万ドル 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
1,100万ドル未満
2%
11～12百万ドル
1%
1,200万～1,300万ドル
12%
1,300万〜1,400万ドル
18%
1,400万～1,500万ドル
24%
1,500万ドル以上
77%
1,500万ドル以上 61%
1,400万～1,500万ドル 24%
1,300万〜1,400万ドル 18%
1,200万～1,300万ドル 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
1,100万ドル未満
$362 Vol.
2%
11～12百万ドル
$361 Vol.
1%
1,200万～1,300万ドル
$20 Vol.
12%
1,300万〜1,400万ドル
$20 Vol.
18%
1,400万～1,500万ドル
$20 Vol.
24%
1,500万ドル以上
$160 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holiday momentum and proven holding power position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust sixth weekend in the $15 million-plus range.**
Released July 29–31, 2026, the film opened to a record $360 million domestically (second only to *Avengers: Endgame*) and has maintained the No. 1 spot through five weekends with steadily improving drops: 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42%. By early September it had reached roughly $896 million domestic and $2.34 billion worldwide, reflecting exceptional audience retention and minimal competition.
Labor Day weekend (September 5–7) historically lifts holdovers, and recent daily figures—such as $6.96 million on the prior Sunday and steady weekday earnings around $2–3 million—signal continued front-runner status. Traders see the combination of holiday uplift, strong word-of-mouth, and the film’s 2.5x multiplier trajectory as the dominant driver behind the 76.5% implied probability for $15 million or more, while lower brackets reflect only modest downside risk if the boost underperforms expectations.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
音量
$922終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holiday momentum and proven holding power position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust sixth weekend in the $15 million-plus range.**
Released July 29–31, 2026, the film opened to a record $360 million domestically (second only to *Avengers: Endgame*) and has maintained the No. 1 spot through five weekends with steadily improving drops: 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42%. By early September it had reached roughly $896 million domestic and $2.34 billion worldwide, reflecting exceptional audience retention and minimal competition.
Labor Day weekend (September 5–7) historically lifts holdovers, and recent daily figures—such as $6.96 million on the prior Sunday and steady weekday earnings around $2–3 million—signal continued front-runner status. Traders see the combination of holiday uplift, strong word-of-mouth, and the film’s 2.5x multiplier trajectory as the dominant driver behind the 76.5% implied probability for $15 million or more, while lower brackets reflect only modest downside risk if the boost underperforms expectations.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$922終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Strong holiday momentum and proven holding power position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a robust sixth weekend in the $15 million-plus range.** Released July 29–31, 2026, the film opened to a record $360 million domestically (second only to *Avengers: Endgame*) and has maintained the No. 1 spot through five weekends with steadily improving drops: 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42%. By early September it had reached roughly $896 million domestic and $2.34 billion worldwide, reflecting exceptional audience retention and minimal competition. Labor Day weekend (September 5–7) historically lifts holdovers, and recent daily figures—such as $6.96 million on the prior Sunday and steady weekday earnings around $2–3 million—signal continued front-runner status. Traders see the combination of holiday uplift, strong word-of-mouth, and the film’s 2.5x multiplier trajectory as the dominant driver behind the 76.5% implied probability for $15 million or more, while lower brackets reflect only modest downside risk if the boost underperforms expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問