Texas Republican voters head into the May 26 runoff with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn in recent polling, including a University of Houston survey showing 48% to 45% among likely GOP participants. The race remains tight because both campaigns have largely locked in their March primary supporters, with only about 7% undecided and minimal movement among voters who backed third-place finisher Wesley Hunt. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn-aligned groups and Paxton’s counterattacks have reinforced partisan divides without shifting the overall balance. Trader pricing across victory margins reflects this uncertainty, as a late endorsement, turnout surge among base voters, or final-week developments could still widen the gap in either direction before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パクストン 6〜9％ 23%
コーニン <3％ 22.0%
パクストン9％以上 16.3%
パクストン 3〜6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
2026/05/25
パクストン9％以上
16%
パクストン 6〜9％
23%
パクストン 3〜6%
14%
パクストン <3%
11%
コーニン <3％
22%
コーニン 3–6％
7%
コーニン 6〜9％
5%
コーニン 9％以上
10%
パクストン 6〜9％ 23%
コーニン <3％ 22.0%
パクストン9％以上 16.3%
パクストン 3〜6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
2026/05/25
パクストン9％以上
$11,914 Vol.
16%
パクストン 6〜9％
$6,727 Vol.
23%
パクストン 3〜6%
$5,750 Vol.
14%
パクストン <3%
$7,085 Vol.
11%
コーニン <3％
$5,174 Vol.
22%
コーニン 3–6％
$5,243 Vol.
7%
コーニン 6〜9％
$5,306 Vol.
5%
コーニン 9％以上
$12,076 Vol.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Texas Republican voters head into the May 26 runoff with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn in recent polling, including a University of Houston survey showing 48% to 45% among likely GOP participants. The race remains tight because both campaigns have largely locked in their March primary supporters, with only about 7% undecided and minimal movement among voters who backed third-place finisher Wesley Hunt. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn-aligned groups and Paxton’s counterattacks have reinforced partisan divides without shifting the overall balance. Trader pricing across victory margins reflects this uncertainty, as a late endorsement, turnout surge among base voters, or final-week developments could still widen the gap in either direction before ballots are cast.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
音量
$59,275終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Texas Republican voters head into the May 26 runoff with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn in recent polling, including a University of Houston survey showing 48% to 45% among likely GOP participants. The race remains tight because both campaigns have largely locked in their March primary supporters, with only about 7% undecided and minimal movement among voters who backed third-place finisher Wesley Hunt. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn-aligned groups and Paxton’s counterattacks have reinforced partisan divides without shifting the overall balance. Trader pricing across victory margins reflects this uncertainty, as a late endorsement, turnout surge among base voters, or final-week developments could still widen the gap in either direction before ballots are cast.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$59,275終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas Republican voters head into the May 26 runoff with Attorney General Ken Paxton holding a narrow lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn in recent polling, including a University of Houston survey showing 48% to 45% among likely GOP participants. The race remains tight because both campaigns have largely locked in their March primary supporters, with only about 7% undecided and minimal movement among voters who backed third-place finisher Wesley Hunt. Heavy negative advertising from Cornyn-aligned groups and Paxton’s counterattacks have reinforced partisan divides without shifting the overall balance. Trader pricing across victory margins reflects this uncertainty, as a late endorsement, turnout surge among base voters, or final-week developments could still widen the gap in either direction before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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