Mixed critical reception has anchored trader sentiment around a subdued opening for *The Uprising*, with the sub-$4.5 million bracket holding a 57.5% implied probability. Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt earned mixed-to-negative reviews (around 54% on Rotten Tomatoes) just days before its wide September 11 release, citing a lack of inspired filmmaking and emotional depth despite strong production values. Andrew Garfield’s star power and the film’s loose Robin Hood connection provide some draw, but the niche period setting, post-summer timing, and limited marketing momentum suggest modest theatrical interest. Focus Features faces a competitive early-fall corridor, and any stronger-than-expected audience scores or word-of-mouth could lift results into the 4.5–5.5 million range.