Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$19,961 Vol.
84%
民主党
$13,214 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$33,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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