Tennessee Republicans' passage and signing of a new congressional map in early May 2026 redrew the boundaries of the Memphis-based ninth district, splitting its majority-minority population across multiple seats and shifting the partisan balance toward the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's subsequent announcement that he would not seek reelection further opened the contest. These structural changes position Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, with a clear edge in the general election, while Democrats face a crowded August primary and diluted voter base under the revised lines. The resulting trader consensus reflects the map's impact on the district's electoral math ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,205 Vol.
$25,205 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
15%
$25,205 Vol.
$25,205 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,038 Vol.
82%
民主党
$12,167 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' passage and signing of a new congressional map in early May 2026 redrew the boundaries of the Memphis-based ninth district, splitting its majority-minority population across multiple seats and shifting the partisan balance toward the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's subsequent announcement that he would not seek reelection further opened the contest. These structural changes position Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, with a clear edge in the general election, while Democrats face a crowded August primary and diluted voter base under the revised lines. The resulting trader consensus reflects the map's impact on the district's electoral math ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,205終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' passage and signing of a new congressional map in early May 2026 redrew the boundaries of the Memphis-based ninth district, splitting its majority-minority population across multiple seats and shifting the partisan balance toward the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's subsequent announcement that he would not seek reelection further opened the contest. These structural changes position Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, with a clear edge in the general election, while Democrats face a crowded August primary and diluted voter base under the revised lines. The resulting trader consensus reflects the map's impact on the district's electoral math ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,205終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee Republicans' passage and signing of a new congressional map in early May 2026 redrew the boundaries of the Memphis-based ninth district, splitting its majority-minority population across multiple seats and shifting the partisan balance toward the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Steve Cohen's subsequent announcement that he would not seek reelection further opened the contest. These structural changes position Republican candidates, including state Sen. Brent Taylor, with a clear edge in the general election, while Democrats face a crowded August primary and diluted voter base under the revised lines. The resulting trader consensus reflects the map's impact on the district's electoral math ahead of the November 3, 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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