Scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by summer moisture and instability are the main factors shaping trader views on rain locations for August 10, with Weather Prediction Center guidance highlighting potential across the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians. National Weather Service short-range models, including GFS and NAM runs, currently emphasize diurnal convection in the eastern and central U.S. amid above-normal warmth, while the West remains largely dry under high pressure. These patterns align with climatological baselines for early August, where afternoon heating often triggers isolated precipitation rather than widespread systems. New model cycles and NWS updates over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/11
シンガポール
51%
ジャカルタ
50%
ムンバイ
50%
マニラ
50%
Tokyo
50%
ラゴス
50%
バンコク
50%
香港
50%
ソウル（仁川）
50%
台北
50%
コロンボ
51%
ダッカ
49%
クアラルンプール
51%
London
51%
ドバイ
50%
サンパウロ
50%
シドニー
50%
$0.00 Vol.
シンガポール
$0 Vol.
51%
ジャカルタ
$0 Vol.
50%
ムンバイ
$0 Vol.
50%
マニラ
$0 Vol.
50%
Tokyo
$0 Vol.
50%
ラゴス
$0 Vol.
50%
バンコク
$0 Vol.
50%
香港
$0 Vol.
50%
ソウル（仁川）
$0 Vol.
50%
台北
$0 Vol.
50%
コロンボ
$0 Vol.
51%
ダッカ
$0 Vol.
49%
クアラルンプール
$0 Vol.
51%
London
$0 Vol.
51%
ドバイ
$0 Vol.
50%
サンパウロ
$0 Vol.
50%
シドニー
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by summer moisture and instability are the main factors shaping trader views on rain locations for August 10, with Weather Prediction Center guidance highlighting potential across the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians. National Weather Service short-range models, including GFS and NAM runs, currently emphasize diurnal convection in the eastern and central U.S. amid above-normal warmth, while the West remains largely dry under high pressure. These patterns align with climatological baselines for early August, where afternoon heating often triggers isolated precipitation rather than widespread systems. New model cycles and NWS updates over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".Scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by summer moisture and instability are the main factors shaping trader views on rain locations for August 10, with Weather Prediction Center guidance highlighting potential across the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians. National Weather Service short-range models, including GFS and NAM runs, currently emphasize diurnal convection in the eastern and central U.S. amid above-normal warmth, while the West remains largely dry under high pressure. These patterns align with climatological baselines for early August, where afternoon heating often triggers isolated precipitation rather than widespread systems. New model cycles and NWS updates over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ETScattered showers and thunderstorms driven by summer moisture and instability are the main factors shaping trader views on rain locations for August 10, with Weather Prediction Center guidance highlighting potential across the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians. National Weather Service short-range models, including GFS and NAM runs, currently emphasize diurnal convection in the eastern and central U.S. amid above-normal warmth, while the West remains largely dry under high pressure. These patterns align with climatological baselines for early August, where afternoon heating often triggers isolated precipitation rather than widespread systems. New model cycles and NWS updates over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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