Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 76% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, reflecting its established edge in coding benchmarks and practical web development tasks through iterative Claude releases. Other major labs trail sharply, with OpenAI at 9%, Google at 4%, and Meta at 10%, as traders view recent model updates and competitive positioning as insufficient to close the gap in specialized code generation and debugging capabilities. The broad field of remaining entrants clustered near 50% or lower highlights uncertainty around upcoming benchmark results, with any new large language model demonstrations or third-party evaluations in the next two months serving as key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 76%
Meta 10.0%
OpenAI 9%
SpaceXAI 4.3%
$12,904 Vol.
$12,904 Vol.
2026/10/31
Anthropic
76%
Meta
10%
OpenAI
9%
SpaceXAI
4%
テンセント
4%
4%
Xiaomi
3%
ムーンショット
3%
プールサイド
3%
アリババ
3%
DeepSeek
2%
Z.ai
1%
Mistral
1%
Thinky
11%
バイトダンス
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 76%
Meta 10.0%
OpenAI 9%
SpaceXAI 4.3%
$12,904 Vol.
$12,904 Vol.
2026/10/31
Anthropic
$10,517 Vol.
76%
Meta
$271 Vol.
10%
OpenAI
$173 Vol.
9%
SpaceXAI
$298 Vol.
4%
テンセント
$185 Vol.
4%
$115 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$172 Vol.
3%
ムーンショット
$83 Vol.
3%
プールサイド
$216 Vol.
3%
アリババ
$83 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$105 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$88 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$105 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$169 Vol.
11%
バイトダンス
$170 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 76% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, reflecting its established edge in coding benchmarks and practical web development tasks through iterative Claude releases. Other major labs trail sharply, with OpenAI at 9%, Google at 4%, and Meta at 10%, as traders view recent model updates and competitive positioning as insufficient to close the gap in specialized code generation and debugging capabilities. The broad field of remaining entrants clustered near 50% or lower highlights uncertainty around upcoming benchmark results, with any new large language model demonstrations or third-party evaluations in the next two months serving as key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
音量
$12,904終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 76% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, reflecting its established edge in coding benchmarks and practical web development tasks through iterative Claude releases. Other major labs trail sharply, with OpenAI at 9%, Google at 4%, and Meta at 10%, as traders view recent model updates and competitive positioning as insufficient to close the gap in specialized code generation and debugging capabilities. The broad field of remaining entrants clustered near 50% or lower highlights uncertainty around upcoming benchmark results, with any new large language model demonstrations or third-party evaluations in the next two months serving as key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$12,904終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 76% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, reflecting its established edge in coding benchmarks and practical web development tasks through iterative Claude releases. Other major labs trail sharply, with OpenAI at 9%, Google at 4%, and Meta at 10%, as traders view recent model updates and competitive positioning as insufficient to close the gap in specialized code generation and debugging capabilities. The broad field of remaining entrants clustered near 50% or lower highlights uncertainty around upcoming benchmark results, with any new large language model demonstrations or third-party evaluations in the next two months serving as key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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