Anthropic's commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from its Claude Opus 4.6 large language model delivering consistent top-tier results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME and HMMT, where it maintains near-perfect accuracy without relying on specialized reasoning modes. This edge reflects Anthropic's focused scaling of chain-of-thought capabilities and long-context handling, which have outpaced competitors in recent independent evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail closely behind due to strong showings from Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 variants on GPQA Diamond and AIME tasks, yet traders view these as slightly less reliable for pure math workloads. With the May resolution window approaching, any fresh benchmark releases or model updates from these labs could still shift the narrow gap between second and third place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 71%
Google 15%
OpenAI 15%
xAI <1%
$121,102 Vol.
$121,102 Vol.
2026/05/31
Anthropic
71%
15%
OpenAI
15%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 71%
Google 15%
OpenAI 15%
xAI <1%
$121,102 Vol.
$121,102 Vol.
2026/05/31
Anthropic
$19,820 Vol.
71%
$11,587 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$19,441 Vol.
15%
xAI
$9,193 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$7,209 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$7,004 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$6,880 Vol.
1%
Meta
$6,837 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$7,254 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,515 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$8,279 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from its Claude Opus 4.6 large language model delivering consistent top-tier results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME and HMMT, where it maintains near-perfect accuracy without relying on specialized reasoning modes. This edge reflects Anthropic's focused scaling of chain-of-thought capabilities and long-context handling, which have outpaced competitors in recent independent evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail closely behind due to strong showings from Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 variants on GPQA Diamond and AIME tasks, yet traders view these as slightly less reliable for pure math workloads. With the May resolution window approaching, any fresh benchmark releases or model updates from these labs could still shift the narrow gap between second and third place.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$121,102終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from its Claude Opus 4.6 large language model delivering consistent top-tier results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME and HMMT, where it maintains near-perfect accuracy without relying on specialized reasoning modes. This edge reflects Anthropic's focused scaling of chain-of-thought capabilities and long-context handling, which have outpaced competitors in recent independent evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail closely behind due to strong showings from Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 variants on GPQA Diamond and AIME tasks, yet traders view these as slightly less reliable for pure math workloads. With the May resolution window approaching, any fresh benchmark releases or model updates from these labs could still shift the narrow gap between second and third place.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$121,102終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's commanding lead in trader sentiment stems from its Claude Opus 4.6 large language model delivering consistent top-tier results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME and HMMT, where it maintains near-perfect accuracy without relying on specialized reasoning modes. This edge reflects Anthropic's focused scaling of chain-of-thought capabilities and long-context handling, which have outpaced competitors in recent independent evaluations. Google and OpenAI trail closely behind due to strong showings from Gemini 3.1 Pro and GPT-5.4 variants on GPQA Diamond and AIME tasks, yet traders view these as slightly less reliable for pure math workloads. With the May resolution window approaching, any fresh benchmark releases or model updates from these labs could still shift the narrow gap between second and third place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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