Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パメラ・エヴェット 37.8%
デイビッド・ウィルキンス 18.6%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
ジョー・ウィルソン 6.8%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.

パメラ・エヴェット
38%

デイビッド・ウィルキンス
19%

ラッセル・フライ
9%

ジョー・ウィルソン
11%

ラルフ・ノーマン
7%

ナンシー・メイス
6%

アラン・ウィルソン
4%

ミック・マルバニー
4%

アンドレ・バウアー
4%

ポール・ダンズ
3%

スコット・ベセント
3%

ボブ・ピラー
2%

シェリ・ビッグス
2%

ウィリアム・ティモンズ
1%

中間選挙前にはなし
1%

マーク・リンチ
1%
パメラ・エヴェット 37.8%
デイビッド・ウィルキンス 18.6%
ラッセル・フライ 9%
ジョー・ウィルソン 6.8%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.

パメラ・エヴェット
38%

デイビッド・ウィルキンス
19%

ラッセル・フライ
9%

ジョー・ウィルソン
11%

ラルフ・ノーマン
7%

ナンシー・メイス
6%

アラン・ウィルソン
4%

ミック・マルバニー
4%

アンドレ・バウアー
4%

ポール・ダンズ
3%

スコット・ベセント
3%

ボブ・ピラー
2%

シェリ・ビッグス
2%

ウィリアム・ティモンズ
1%

中間選挙前にはなし
1%

マーク・リンチ
1%
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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