Trader consensus reflects the absence of any active negotiations or scheduled ceremonies capable of producing a new Abraham Accords accession within the remaining two-week window. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026, while Somaliland pledged to join following Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet no comparable bilateral agreements or public commitments have advanced to signing stage with other candidates. Potential partners such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, and discussions involving Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid regional security concerns. Diplomatic normalization requires preparatory steps, official announcements, and coordinated ceremonies that historically span months rather than days. A last-minute breakthrough remains theoretically possible if an undisclosed Central Asian or African state accelerates talks, but no verifiable developments point to such an outcome before August 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
2026/08/31
はい
2% 確率
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the absence of any active negotiations or scheduled ceremonies capable of producing a new Abraham Accords accession within the remaining two-week window. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026, while Somaliland pledged to join following Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet no comparable bilateral agreements or public commitments have advanced to signing stage with other candidates. Potential partners such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, and discussions involving Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid regional security concerns. Diplomatic normalization requires preparatory steps, official announcements, and coordinated ceremonies that historically span months rather than days. A last-minute breakthrough remains theoretically possible if an undisclosed Central Asian or African state accelerates talks, but no verifiable developments point to such an outcome before August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
音量
$53,711終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the absence of any active negotiations or scheduled ceremonies capable of producing a new Abraham Accords accession within the remaining two-week window. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026, while Somaliland pledged to join following Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet no comparable bilateral agreements or public commitments have advanced to signing stage with other candidates. Potential partners such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, and discussions involving Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid regional security concerns. Diplomatic normalization requires preparatory steps, official announcements, and coordinated ceremonies that historically span months rather than days. A last-minute breakthrough remains theoretically possible if an undisclosed Central Asian or African state accelerates talks, but no verifiable developments point to such an outcome before August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$53,711終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the absence of any active negotiations or scheduled ceremonies capable of producing a new Abraham Accords accession within the remaining two-week window. Kazakhstan formalized its entry in early 2026, while Somaliland pledged to join following Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet no comparable bilateral agreements or public commitments have advanced to signing stage with other candidates. Potential partners such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on progress toward a Palestinian state, and discussions involving Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid regional security concerns. Diplomatic normalization requires preparatory steps, official announcements, and coordinated ceremonies that historically span months rather than days. A last-minute breakthrough remains theoretically possible if an undisclosed Central Asian or African state accelerates talks, but no verifiable developments point to such an outcome before August 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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