**Recent US economic resilience and elevated Treasury yields have supported the dollar index near 101.9 as of early October 2026, following a roughly 4% year-over-year advance amid firmer labor-market readings and Fed communications emphasizing inflation control.** The DXY's positioning reflects market-implied odds for additional policy tightening priced into short-term rates, with the upcoming week featuring the September ISM Services PMI (expected near 55.7) on October 5 and FOMC minutes from the mid-September meeting on October 7. These releases could clarify the pace of any further rate adjustments and influence yield differentials versus other major currencies. Broader factors include ongoing energy-price pressures and global growth differentials, which continue to shape trader positioning ahead of quieter subsequent sessions. Volatility may rise around these data points as participants reassess the near-term rate path.