Recent above-average U.S. natural gas storage builds, including a +61 Bcf injection for the week ended July 3 versus a five-year average of +51 Bcf, have weighed on near-term prices amid robust supply growth. Henry Hub futures for August 2026 have traded in the $3.15–$3.34/MMBtu range, with spot levels recently near $2.95–$3.01/MMBtu following declines on Thursday. Record Lower-48 production near 113.5 Bcf/day and elevated inventories (6% above the five-year average at end-June) offset bullish factors such as a central/eastern U.S. heatwave lifting power-sector demand above 45 Bcf/day. EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 Henry Hub average near $3.60/MMBtu, supported by rising LNG exports and power demand, though near-term weather and storage reports remain key swing factors for the July 13 week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $3.60
3%
↑ $3.50
50%
↑ $3.40
50%
↑ $3.30
50%
↑ $3.20
50%
↑ $3.10
50%
↑ $3.00
50%
↓ $2.90
50%
↓ $2.80
50%
↓ $2.70
50%
↓ $2.60
50%
↓ $2.50
50%
↓ $2.40
2%
↓ $2.30
2%
$54 Vol.
↑ $3.60
3%
↑ $3.50
50%
↑ $3.40
50%
↑ $3.30
50%
↑ $3.20
50%
↑ $3.10
50%
↑ $3.00
50%
↓ $2.90
50%
↓ $2.80
50%
↓ $2.70
50%
↓ $2.60
50%
↓ $2.50
50%
↓ $2.40
2%
↓ $2.30
2%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month.
For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Recent above-average U.S. natural gas storage builds, including a +61 Bcf injection for the week ended July 3 versus a five-year average of +51 Bcf, have weighed on near-term prices amid robust supply growth. Henry Hub futures for August 2026 have traded in the $3.15–$3.34/MMBtu range, with spot levels recently near $2.95–$3.01/MMBtu following declines on Thursday. Record Lower-48 production near 113.5 Bcf/day and elevated inventories (6% above the five-year average at end-June) offset bullish factors such as a central/eastern U.S. heatwave lifting power-sector demand above 45 Bcf/day. EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects a 2026 Henry Hub average near $3.60/MMBtu, supported by rising LNG exports and power demand, though near-term weather and storage reports remain key swing factors for the July 13 week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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