Recent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, including drone strikes and renewed U.S. rhetoric toward Iran, have injected short-term risk premiums into WTI prices, driving intraday swings above $73 per barrel in early July before moderating. These moves follow the June MOU ending broader conflict and reopening key shipping lanes, which has accelerated supply recovery from Persian Gulf producers and reduced prior inventory draws. EIA forecasts point to global liquids production rising faster than consumption through year-end, with inventories building and Brent expected near $74 per barrel in the third quarter. OPEC+ plans to add output in August further weigh on the forward curve, while traders monitor tanker traffic and any escalation for near-term volatility around the July 13 settlement period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
50%
↑ 90ドル
51%
↑ 85ドル
50%
↑ $80
51%
↑ $75
65%
↓ 70ドル
55%
↓ $65
24%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
$1,504 Vol.
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
3%
↑ $95
50%
↑ 90ドル
51%
↑ 85ドル
50%
↑ $80
51%
↑ $75
65%
↓ 70ドル
55%
↓ $65
24%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, including drone strikes and renewed U.S. rhetoric toward Iran, have injected short-term risk premiums into WTI prices, driving intraday swings above $73 per barrel in early July before moderating. These moves follow the June MOU ending broader conflict and reopening key shipping lanes, which has accelerated supply recovery from Persian Gulf producers and reduced prior inventory draws. EIA forecasts point to global liquids production rising faster than consumption through year-end, with inventories building and Brent expected near $74 per barrel in the third quarter. OPEC+ plans to add output in August further weigh on the forward curve, while traders monitor tanker traffic and any escalation for near-term volatility around the July 13 settlement period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問