Ongoing conflict in Ukraine and unified G7 opposition sustain the 93% trader consensus against Russia rejoining before 2027. Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, describing the group as irrelevant and shifting focus to BRICS and other forums. European leaders including Germany's Friedrich Merz and Italy's Giorgia Meloni have rejected proposals for readmission tied to peace talks, citing persistent sanctions and diplomatic isolation. Recent G7 declarations continue to condemn Russian actions and affirm support for Ukraine, with the June 2026 summit in France unlikely to alter the stance absent major de-escalation. These structural barriers, including the requirement for full member consensus, keep implied probabilities heavily skewed toward exclusion through the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$14,775 Vol.
$14,775 Vol.
はい
$14,775 Vol.
$14,775 Vol.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing conflict in Ukraine and unified G7 opposition sustain the 93% trader consensus against Russia rejoining before 2027. Vladimir Putin has repeatedly dismissed any return, describing the group as irrelevant and shifting focus to BRICS and other forums. European leaders including Germany's Friedrich Merz and Italy's Giorgia Meloni have rejected proposals for readmission tied to peace talks, citing persistent sanctions and diplomatic isolation. Recent G7 declarations continue to condemn Russian actions and affirm support for Ukraine, with the June 2026 summit in France unlikely to alter the stance absent major de-escalation. These structural barriers, including the requirement for full member consensus, keep implied probabilities heavily skewed toward exclusion through the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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