Recent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls data and May CPI at 4.2% have reinforced expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring gold prices near $4,200 per ounce after a sharp pullback from January 2026 highs above $5,600. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, the first under new Chair Kevin Warsh and featuring updated projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of later hikes amid resilient growth and energy-driven inflation risks. Central bank purchases and safe-haven demand provide underlying support, yet ETF outflows and firmer Treasury yields have weighed on sentiment. Traders will watch for any dot-plot shifts or inflation commentary that could alter the implied rate path and near-term XAUUSD volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/06/19
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4,500
50%
↑ $4,450
50%
↑ $4,400
50%
↑ 4,350ドル
51%
↑ 4,300ドル
56%
↑ $4,250
74%
↓ $4,200
69%
↓ $4,150
56%
↓ $4,100
51%
↓ $4,050
51%
↓ $4,000
49%
↓ $3,950
50%
↓ $3,900
49%
$30 Vol.
↑ $4,550
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,500
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,450
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,400
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 4,350ドル
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ 4,300ドル
$0 Vol.
56%
↑ $4,250
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $4,200
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ $4,150
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ $4,100
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,050
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $4,000
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $3,950
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $3,900
$30 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls data and May CPI at 4.2% have reinforced expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring gold prices near $4,200 per ounce after a sharp pullback from January 2026 highs above $5,600. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, the first under new Chair Kevin Warsh and featuring updated projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of later hikes amid resilient growth and energy-driven inflation risks. Central bank purchases and safe-haven demand provide underlying support, yet ETF outflows and firmer Treasury yields have weighed on sentiment. Traders will watch for any dot-plot shifts or inflation commentary that could alter the implied rate path and near-term XAUUSD volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$30終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls data and May CPI at 4.2% have reinforced expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring gold prices near $4,200 per ounce after a sharp pullback from January 2026 highs above $5,600. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, the first under new Chair Kevin Warsh and featuring updated projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of later hikes amid resilient growth and energy-driven inflation risks. Central bank purchases and safe-haven demand provide underlying support, yet ETF outflows and firmer Treasury yields have weighed on sentiment. Traders will watch for any dot-plot shifts or inflation commentary that could alter the implied rate path and near-term XAUUSD volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
音量
$30終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ETRecent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls data and May CPI at 4.2% have reinforced expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring gold prices near $4,200 per ounce after a sharp pullback from January 2026 highs above $5,600. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, the first under new Chair Kevin Warsh and featuring updated projections, stands as the key near-term catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of later hikes amid resilient growth and energy-driven inflation risks. Central bank purchases and safe-haven demand provide underlying support, yet ETF outflows and firmer Treasury yields have weighed on sentiment. Traders will watch for any dot-plot shifts or inflation commentary that could alter the implied rate path and near-term XAUUSD volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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