Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,430 reflect resilience after May gains, though the index has shown intraday volatility into mid-June. The primary near-term catalyst is the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where markets price a near-certain hold of the federal funds rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range amid May CPI at +4.2% year-over-year and unemployment at 4.3%. Persistent inflation readings and a solid May jobs report have reduced expectations for near-term easing, supporting equity valuations while limiting downside. Traders will monitor any shifts in Fed guidance on the balance sheet or inflation trajectory for directional moves during the week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $775
5%
↑ $770
10%
↑ $765
8%
↑ $760
15%
↑ $755
36%
↑ $750
53%
↑ $745
68%
↓ $740
72%
↓ $735
60%
↓ $730
52%
↓ $725
42%
↓ $720
23%
↓ $715
31%
↓ $710
6%
$8 Vol.
↑ $775
5%
↑ $770
10%
↑ $765
8%
↑ $760
15%
↑ $755
36%
↑ $750
53%
↑ $745
68%
↓ $740
72%
↓ $735
60%
↓ $730
52%
↓ $725
42%
↓ $720
23%
↓ $715
31%
↓ $710
6%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,430 reflect resilience after May gains, though the index has shown intraday volatility into mid-June. The primary near-term catalyst is the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where markets price a near-certain hold of the federal funds rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range amid May CPI at +4.2% year-over-year and unemployment at 4.3%. Persistent inflation readings and a solid May jobs report have reduced expectations for near-term easing, supporting equity valuations while limiting downside. Traders will monitor any shifts in Fed guidance on the balance sheet or inflation trajectory for directional moves during the week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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