Recent geopolitical developments, including the February 2026 conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices ahead of the week of June 15. Supply cuts exceeding 11 million barrels per day have tightened inventories, supporting front-month futures near $84–87 per barrel despite recent declines of over 3% in a single session. EIA projections highlight elevated prices averaging around $105 per barrel for Brent in June–July under persistent outage assumptions, with market backwardation signaling expectations of eventual supply recovery. Traders are monitoring any ceasefire progress, weekly inventory releases, and demand signals from China amid broader macroeconomic influences on energy risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $115
11%
↑ $110
26%
↑ $105
13%
↑ $100
31%
↑ $95
33%
↑ $90
40%
↑ $85
74%
↓ $80
37%
↓ $75
25%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $65
15%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $50
5%
$79 Vol.
↑ $115
11%
↑ $110
26%
↑ $105
13%
↑ $100
31%
↑ $95
33%
↑ $90
40%
↑ $85
74%
↓ $80
37%
↓ $75
25%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $65
15%
↓ $60
11%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $50
5%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Recent geopolitical developments, including the February 2026 conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran and resulting disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices ahead of the week of June 15. Supply cuts exceeding 11 million barrels per day have tightened inventories, supporting front-month futures near $84–87 per barrel despite recent declines of over 3% in a single session. EIA projections highlight elevated prices averaging around $105 per barrel for Brent in June–July under persistent outage assumptions, with market backwardation signaling expectations of eventual supply recovery. Traders are monitoring any ceasefire progress, weekly inventory releases, and demand signals from China amid broader macroeconomic influences on energy risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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