Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日林国璋 56%
呉宗憲 37%
陳文輝 5%
張聖德 1.4%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
林国璋
56%
呉宗憲
37%
陳文輝
5%
張聖德
1%
林国璋 56%
呉宗憲 37%
陳文輝 5%
張聖德 1.4%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
林国璋
$1,168 Vol.
56%
呉宗憲
$1,359 Vol.
37%
陳文輝
$333 Vol.
5%
張聖德
$262 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
音量
$3,122終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$3,122終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a narrow edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Yilan County magistrate race, ahead of Kuomintang nominee Wu Tsung-hsien and Taiwan People's Party nominee Chen Wan-hui. A May 2026 joint KMT-TPP poll led to Wu securing the unified opposition slot after outperforming Chen, narrowing what had been a fragmented field and prompting immediate endorsement from the TPP. Earlier March surveys showed Lin ahead by roughly 3 points amid high undecided shares, reflecting his local organizational base and public service record against Wu's legislative profile and opposition consolidation push. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's competitive electoral history, ongoing campaign activities including policy-focused events on issues like industry development, and the absence of decisive late-summer polling shifts. Scheduled fall debates, turnout mobilization, and any further alliance signals could alter the balance before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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