Brazil’s Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice, and the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats remains a high barrier that current petitions have not approached. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has kept multiple impeachment requests off the floor, while opposition forces lack the necessary coalition support. Recent U.S. diplomatic easing, including the December 2025 removal of sanctions against Justice Alexandre de Moraes, reduced external pressure that once fueled removal speculation. Moraes continues to issue rulings on major cases, including the May 2026 suspension of sentencing-reduction legislation affecting former President Jair Bolsonaro, underscoring institutional continuity. These factors have produced trader consensus that his tenure through year-end 2026 is the most probable outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$27,474 거래량
$27,474 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$27,474 거래량
$27,474 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil’s Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice, and the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats remains a high barrier that current petitions have not approached. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has kept multiple impeachment requests off the floor, while opposition forces lack the necessary coalition support. Recent U.S. diplomatic easing, including the December 2025 removal of sanctions against Justice Alexandre de Moraes, reduced external pressure that once fueled removal speculation. Moraes continues to issue rulings on major cases, including the May 2026 suspension of sentencing-reduction legislation affecting former President Jair Bolsonaro, underscoring institutional continuity. These factors have produced trader consensus that his tenure through year-end 2026 is the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
거래량
$27,474종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil’s Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice, and the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats remains a high barrier that current petitions have not approached. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has kept multiple impeachment requests off the floor, while opposition forces lack the necessary coalition support. Recent U.S. diplomatic easing, including the December 2025 removal of sanctions against Justice Alexandre de Moraes, reduced external pressure that once fueled removal speculation. Moraes continues to issue rulings on major cases, including the May 2026 suspension of sentencing-reduction legislation affecting former President Jair Bolsonaro, underscoring institutional continuity. These factors have produced trader consensus that his tenure through year-end 2026 is the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$27,474종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate has never removed a Supreme Court justice, and the two-thirds vote threshold of 54 out of 81 seats remains a high barrier that current petitions have not approached. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has kept multiple impeachment requests off the floor, while opposition forces lack the necessary coalition support. Recent U.S. diplomatic easing, including the December 2025 removal of sanctions against Justice Alexandre de Moraes, reduced external pressure that once fueled removal speculation. Moraes continues to issue rulings on major cases, including the May 2026 suspension of sentencing-reduction legislation affecting former President Jair Bolsonaro, underscoring institutional continuity. These factors have produced trader consensus that his tenure through year-end 2026 is the most probable outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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