Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds consistent polling leads over leading Republican challengers like U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, fueling trader consensus at 75.5% for a Democratic win. Recent April surveys, including TIPP's 48%-38% Hobbs edge over Biggs and aggregates showing her up 5-9 points, have solidified her position despite Arizona's battleground status and Donald Trump's 2024 presidential victory there. Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension consolidated GOP support behind Biggs, who leads the July 21 Republican primary but trails Hobbs in head-to-heads. Forecasters like Race to the WH now rate it Lean Democrat, though the general election remains six months away with potential for shifts from turnout, endorsements, or economic factors in swing state Arizona.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$42,522 거래량
$42,522 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
76%
공화당
25%
$42,522 거래량
$42,522 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$22,824 거래량
76%
공화당
$19,698 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds consistent polling leads over leading Republican challengers like U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, fueling trader consensus at 75.5% for a Democratic win. Recent April surveys, including TIPP's 48%-38% Hobbs edge over Biggs and aggregates showing her up 5-9 points, have solidified her position despite Arizona's battleground status and Donald Trump's 2024 presidential victory there. Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension consolidated GOP support behind Biggs, who leads the July 21 Republican primary but trails Hobbs in head-to-heads. Forecasters like Race to the WH now rate it Lean Democrat, though the general election remains six months away with potential for shifts from turnout, endorsements, or economic factors in swing state Arizona.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$42,522종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds consistent polling leads over leading Republican challengers like U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, fueling trader consensus at 75.5% for a Democratic win. Recent April surveys, including TIPP's 48%-38% Hobbs edge over Biggs and aggregates showing her up 5-9 points, have solidified her position despite Arizona's battleground status and Donald Trump's 2024 presidential victory there. Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension consolidated GOP support behind Biggs, who leads the July 21 Republican primary but trails Hobbs in head-to-heads. Forecasters like Race to the WH now rate it Lean Democrat, though the general election remains six months away with potential for shifts from turnout, endorsements, or economic factors in swing state Arizona.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$42,522종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds consistent polling leads over leading Republican challengers like U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, fueling trader consensus at 75.5% for a Democratic win. Recent April surveys, including TIPP's 48%-38% Hobbs edge over Biggs and aggregates showing her up 5-9 points, have solidified her position despite Arizona's battleground status and Donald Trump's 2024 presidential victory there. Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension consolidated GOP support behind Biggs, who leads the July 21 Republican primary but trails Hobbs in head-to-heads. Forecasters like Race to the WH now rate it Lean Democrat, though the general election remains six months away with potential for shifts from turnout, endorsements, or economic factors in swing state Arizona.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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