Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 89.5% in Florida's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's consistent 64% margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections, and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-May 2026. Giménez faces a Republican primary against Royland Lara and Herrera Macuran, while Democrats pit Hector Mujica—who entered April 2 after dropping a Senate bid following a tight March matchup—and Phil Ehr, whose combined fundraising trails the incumbent's $644,000 cash on hand. No polling or developments in the past 30 days have altered fundamentals ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,273 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$6,950 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 89.5% in Florida's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's consistent 64% margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections, and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-May 2026. Giménez faces a Republican primary against Royland Lara and Herrera Macuran, while Democrats pit Hector Mujica—who entered April 2 after dropping a Senate bid following a tight March matchup—and Phil Ehr, whose combined fundraising trails the incumbent's $644,000 cash on hand. No polling or developments in the past 30 days have altered fundamentals ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$9,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 89.5% in Florida's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's consistent 64% margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections, and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-May 2026. Giménez faces a Republican primary against Royland Lara and Herrera Macuran, while Democrats pit Hector Mujica—who entered April 2 after dropping a Senate bid following a tight March matchup—and Phil Ehr, whose combined fundraising trails the incumbent's $644,000 cash on hand. No polling or developments in the past 30 days have altered fundamentals ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 89.5% in Florida's 28th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Carlos Giménez's consistent 64% margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections, and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of mid-May 2026. Giménez faces a Republican primary against Royland Lara and Herrera Macuran, while Democrats pit Hector Mujica—who entered April 2 after dropping a Senate bid following a tight March matchup—and Phil Ehr, whose combined fundraising trails the incumbent's $644,000 cash on hand. No polling or developments in the past 30 days have altered fundamentals ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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