Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$31,413 거래량
$31,413 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
87%
민주당
12%
$31,413 거래량
$31,413 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$14,462 거래량
87%
민주당
$16,951 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$31,413종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$31,413종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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