New York’s Fifth Congressional District, anchored in southeast Queens with a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and holding substantial campaign funds, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while Republican contenders remain uncompetitive in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders assign just a 6 percent chance to the Republican outcome because no structural shifts—such as redistricting changes or major candidate announcements—have altered the baseline since the 2024 results. A narrow path to upset would require an unusually strong primary challenge or a late national event that dramatically boosts Republican turnout in this urban stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,223 거래량
$22,223 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$22,223 거래량
$22,223 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,739 거래량
94%
공화당
$7,484 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Fifth Congressional District, anchored in southeast Queens with a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and holding substantial campaign funds, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while Republican contenders remain uncompetitive in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders assign just a 6 percent chance to the Republican outcome because no structural shifts—such as redistricting changes or major candidate announcements—have altered the baseline since the 2024 results. A narrow path to upset would require an unusually strong primary challenge or a late national event that dramatically boosts Republican turnout in this urban stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$22,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Fifth Congressional District, anchored in southeast Queens with a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and holding substantial campaign funds, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while Republican contenders remain uncompetitive in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders assign just a 6 percent chance to the Republican outcome because no structural shifts—such as redistricting changes or major candidate announcements—have altered the baseline since the 2024 results. A narrow path to upset would require an unusually strong primary challenge or a late national event that dramatically boosts Republican turnout in this urban stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s Fifth Congressional District, anchored in southeast Queens with a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and holding substantial campaign funds, faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while Republican contenders remain uncompetitive in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders assign just a 6 percent chance to the Republican outcome because no structural shifts—such as redistricting changes or major candidate announcements—have altered the baseline since the 2024 results. A narrow path to upset would require an unusually strong primary challenge or a late national event that dramatically boosts Republican turnout in this urban stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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