Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,610 거래량
$15,610 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,610 거래량
$15,610 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$8,687 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$6,923 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,610종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,610종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and positioning it among the party's safest House seats. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin, while Republicans nominated their candidate in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 ballot. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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