Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on July 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 8?
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
89°F or below
$192 거래량
<1%
90-91°F
$225 거래량
<1%
92-93°F
$650 거래량
1%
94-95°F
$835 거래량
8%
96-97°F
$473 거래량
24%
98-99°F
$2,171 거래량
41%
100-101°F
$321 거래량
10%
102-103°F
$396 거래량
2%
104-105°F
$405 거래량
1%
106-107°F
$250 거래량
<1%
108°F or higher
$412 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
거래량
$6,333종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$6,333종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETForecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin's July 8 high in the mid-to-upper 90s amid a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, with southerly flow adding Gulf moisture that limits daytime heating through increased cloud cover potential and evaporative cooling. The tight spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in guidance on ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower probability for 100-101°F accounts for risks of slightly stronger downslope warming or reduced humidity. Historical July averages near 97°F provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and convective initiation keeps the 45-55% range outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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