Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature near 23 °C in London on May 21 under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced stronger southerly flow. This pattern favors greater cloud cover, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime maxima close to late-May climatological averages while reducing upside potential from brief clear spells. UK and European models cluster tightly around 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bands ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Following the 26.6 °C reading recorded at Kew Gardens on May 19, traders are emphasizing short-range forecast stability over typical spring variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 21일에 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$30,649 거래량
$30,649 거래량
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
24%
23°C
44%
24°C
26%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$30,649 거래량
$30,649 거래량
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
24%
23°C
44%
24°C
26%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature near 23 °C in London on May 21 under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced stronger southerly flow. This pattern favors greater cloud cover, limiting surface insolation and capping daytime maxima close to late-May climatological averages while reducing upside potential from brief clear spells. UK and European models cluster tightly around 22–24 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bands ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Following the 26.6 °C reading recorded at Kew Gardens on May 19, traders are emphasizing short-range forecast stability over typical spring variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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