Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.4%
62-63°F 2.5%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
신규
$33,353 거래량
신규
$33,353 거래량
2026.05.22
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64°F or higher
95%
64°F or higher 95.4%
62-63°F 2.5%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
신규
$33,353 거래량
신규
$33,353 거래량
2026.05.22
45°F or below
$952 거래량
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 거래량
<1%
48-49°F
$6,560 거래량
<1%
50-51°F
$6,898 거래량
<1%
52-53°F
$455 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$455 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$6,455 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$455 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$659 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$1,088 거래량
3%
64°F or higher
$3,136 거래량
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$33,353종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$33,353종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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