Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
29%
33°C
44%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
27°C or below
$169 거래량
<1%
28°C
$433 거래량
<1%
29°C
$301 거래량
1%
30°C
$205 거래량
1%
31°C
$690 거래량
10%
32°C
$609 거래량
29%
33°C
$856 거래량
44%
34°C
$331 거래량
13%
35°C
$222 거래량
3%
36°C
$157 거래량
1%
37°C or higher
$144 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
거래량
$4,108종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$4,108종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on May 22 under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup has stabilized the market-implied odds, with 33°C holding a 42.5% consensus and 32°C at 32.5%, as model runs show limited variability and minimal Atlantic moisture influence. Historical late-May climatology averages closer to 25°C, underscoring the current positive anomaly. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF, which could shift resolution if unexpected cloud cover or wind changes develop before peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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