Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
28%
17°C
39%
18°C
23%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
11°C or below
$655 거래량
<1%
12°C
$548 거래량
<1%
13°C
$852 거래량
<1%
14°C
$838 거래량
1%
15°C
$826 거래량
5%
16°C
$424 거래량
28%
17°C
$505 거래량
39%
18°C
$357 거래량
23%
19°C
$188 거래량
7%
20°C
$286 거래량
3%
21°C or higher
$380 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$5,846종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,846종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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