Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
18°C 6.7%
19°C <1%
신규
$44,860 거래량
신규
$44,860 거래량
2026.05.21
16°C
41%
17°C
51%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
18°C 6.7%
19°C <1%
신규
$44,860 거래량
신규
$44,860 거래량
2026.05.21
16°C
$1,460 거래량
41%
17°C
$1,712 거래량
51%
18°C
$1,799 거래량
7%
19°C
$1,777 거래량
1%
20°C or higher
$779 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$44,860종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$44,860종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus for Wellington point to a maximum of 16°C today under a mild northerly flow, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming. This setup explains why the 16°C and 17°C outcomes trade near even odds at 41.5% each: small shifts in advection strength or the exact timing of any high-level moisture could push the peak either side of that threshold. Historical May averages near 14°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of the typical range without reaching the 18°C+ scenarios priced under 8% combined. Updated model runs later today will clarify whether any additional warming materializes before evening cooling sets in.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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