Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 22?
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
32%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 32%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
23°C or below
$2,094 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,833 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,639 거래량
<1%
26°C
$586 거래량
3%
27°C
$251 거래량
17%
28°C
$473 거래량
32%
29°C
$429 거래량
34%
30°C
$361 거래량
15%
31°C
$247 거래량
5%
32°C
$191 거래량
1%
33°C or higher
$91 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
거래량
$8,169종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,169종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:45 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a building ridge of high pressure over the Po Valley, favoring warm southerly advection and strong daytime insolation that supports surface highs near 28–29 °C in Milan on May 22. This aligns with the market’s close spread between the 29 °C and 28 °C contracts. Late-May climatology places typical highs at 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model runs remain sensitive to small differences in boundary-layer mixing or overnight low-level moisture, which could pull the peak down to 27 °C or allow a brief excursion toward 30 °C. Fresh guidance expected overnight will clarify whether the ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of the afternoon maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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