National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
66-67°F 89%
68°F or higher 10%
58-59°F <1%
$19,010 거래량
$19,010 거래량
2026.05.20
58-59°F
<1%
66-67°F
89%
68°F or higher
10%
66-67°F 89%
68°F or higher 10%
58-59°F <1%
$19,010 거래량
$19,010 거래량
2026.05.20
58-59°F
$1,952 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$1,902 거래량
89%
68°F or higher
$3,124 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
거래량
$19,010종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$19,010종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 제기 기간
최종
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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