PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 14일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 6.5%
신규
$11,116 거래량
신규
$11,116 거래량
2026.07.14
29°C 이하
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
43%
34°C
27%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C 이상
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 6.5%
신규
$11,116 거래량
신규
$11,116 거래량
2026.07.14
29°C 이하
$1,009 거래량
<1%
30°C
$753 거래량
1%
31°C
$2,634 거래량
7%
32°C
$2,405 거래량
22%
33°C
$1,331 거래량
43%
34°C
$825 거래량
27%
35°C
$1,333 거래량
2%
36°C
$392 거래량
1%
37°C
$94 거래량
<1%
38°C
$131 거래량
<1%
39°C 이상
$210 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
거래량
$11,116종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$11,116종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETPAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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