Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 15일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 15일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C 이상
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.15
27°C 이하
$300 거래량
<1%
28°C
$202 거래량
<1%
29°C
$339 거래량
<1%
30°C
$325 거래량
1%
31°C
$854 거래량
2%
32°C
$850 거래량
19%
33°C
$763 거래량
47%
34°C
$1,574 거래량
24%
35°C
$262 거래량
6%
36°C
$381 거래량
1%
37°C 이상
$234 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$6,084종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$6,084종료일
2026.07.15마켓 개설일
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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