**Forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's July 8 high near 91–92°F**, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F (44%) and 90–91°F (29.5%) contracts that together imply roughly 74% probability for that narrow band. Typical midsummer conditions feature a southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s; recent model runs and climatological averages (around 89°F) support this range while allowing modest upside if convection is delayed or suppressed. A mentioned tropical disturbance could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, further limiting temperatures below 94°F, consistent with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 94°F+. Traders are weighting the balance between seasonal warmth and convective moderation ahead of final observations at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on July 8?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 10.9%
88-89°F 4.7%
$18,467 거래량
$18,467 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 10.9%
88-89°F 4.7%
$18,467 거래량
$18,467 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's July 8 high near 91–92°F**, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F (44%) and 90–91°F (29.5%) contracts that together imply roughly 74% probability for that narrow band. Typical midsummer conditions feature a southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s; recent model runs and climatological averages (around 89°F) support this range while allowing modest upside if convection is delayed or suppressed. A mentioned tropical disturbance could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, further limiting temperatures below 94°F, consistent with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 94°F+. Traders are weighting the balance between seasonal warmth and convective moderation ahead of final observations at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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