Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
7월 14일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
25°C 50%
24°C 31%
26°C 17.8%
23°C 5%
신규
$15,154 거래량
신규
$15,154 거래량
2026.07.14
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
31%
25°C
50%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 31%
26°C 17.8%
23°C 5%
신규
$15,154 거래량
신규
$15,154 거래량
2026.07.14
19°C 이하
$2,421 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,137 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,109 거래량
1%
22°C
$2,482 거래량
1%
23°C
$764 거래량
5%
24°C
$1,302 거래량
31%
25°C
$1,187 거래량
50%
26°C
$1,010 거래량
18%
27°C
$824 거래량
1%
28°C
$539 거래량
<1%
29°C 이상
$378 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
거래량
$15,154종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$15,154종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high near 22–24°C on July 14, aligning with the market’s bunched probabilities around those values. Regional pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow support typical mid-July warmth, yet increasing cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with minor shifts in timing of convective activity able to nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 26°C or fall below 20°C in early July, reinforcing the current tight distribution of trader sentiment. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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