National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 12일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
7월 12일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 22%
80-81°F 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
73°F or below
$101 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$810 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$626 거래량
1%
78-79°F
$170 거래량
2%
80-81°F
$41 거래량
6%
82-83°F
$60 거래량
26%
84-85°F
$150 거래량
41%
86-87°F
$62 거래량
22%
88-89°F
$238 거래량
4%
90-91°F
$285 거래량
<1%
92°F or higher
$87 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
거래량
$2,631종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,631종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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