Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on July 8?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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