Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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