Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to persistent Meiyu (plum rain) season cloud cover and scattered showers limiting daytime heating, centering expected maxima near 28–29°C and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. This setup reduces solar insolation while variable convective timing and intensity can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, creating the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes. Official model consensus reflects high uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or shower timing tomorrow, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small changes in moisture or wind patterns alter surface temperatures. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies later today or overnight will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 27%
30°C 4.3%
$36,076 거래량
$36,076 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 27%
30°C 4.3%
$36,076 거래량
$36,076 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to persistent Meiyu (plum rain) season cloud cover and scattered showers limiting daytime heating, centering expected maxima near 28–29°C and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C. This setup reduces solar insolation while variable convective timing and intensity can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, creating the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes. Official model consensus reflects high uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or shower timing tomorrow, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small changes in moisture or wind patterns alter surface temperatures. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies later today or overnight will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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