Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Shanghai’s June 19 high reflects the onset of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) regime, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near seasonal norms of 27–30°C. Numerical models show modest variability in subtropical ridge strength and steering flow over the next 48 hours, with heavier precipitation potentially trimming maxima by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 32°C. Urban heat-island effects and coastal sea-breeze timing add further uncertainty within the narrow 29–32°C window that currently dominates market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
신규
$13,586 거래량
신규
$13,586 거래량
2026.06.19
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
30%
31°C
28%
32°C
16%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
신규
$13,586 거래량
신규
$13,586 거래량
2026.06.19
24°C or below
$1,923 거래량
<1%
25°C
$2,089 거래량
1%
26°C
$1,975 거래량
2%
27°C
$1,682 거래량
2%
28°C
$1,922 거래량
8%
29°C
$1,311 거래량
12%
30°C
$833 거래량
30%
31°C
$564 거래량
28%
32°C
$654 거래량
16%
33°C
$341 거래량
1%
34°C or higher
$311 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Shanghai’s June 19 high reflects the onset of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) regime, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near seasonal norms of 27–30°C. Numerical models show modest variability in subtropical ridge strength and steering flow over the next 48 hours, with heavier precipitation potentially trimming maxima by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 32°C. Urban heat-island effects and coastal sea-breeze timing add further uncertainty within the narrow 29–32°C window that currently dominates market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
거래량
$13,586종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–31°C for Shanghai’s June 19 high reflects the onset of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) regime, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near seasonal norms of 27–30°C. Numerical models show modest variability in subtropical ridge strength and steering flow over the next 48 hours, with heavier precipitation potentially trimming maxima by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 32°C. Urban heat-island effects and coastal sea-breeze timing add further uncertainty within the narrow 29–32°C window that currently dominates market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$13,586종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 1:01 AM ETTrader consensus around 30–31°C for Shanghai’s June 19 high reflects the onset of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu (plum rain) regime, which brings persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near seasonal norms of 27–30°C. Numerical models show modest variability in subtropical ridge strength and steering flow over the next 48 hours, with heavier precipitation potentially trimming maxima by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 32°C. Urban heat-island effects and coastal sea-breeze timing add further uncertainty within the narrow 29–32°C window that currently dominates market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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